Exeter City vs Rotherham United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Exeter City have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Rotherham United have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.24 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Exeter City's recent matches and 80% of Rotherham United's; 20% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Exeter City won 1, Rotherham United won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Exeter City 0–4 Rotherham United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 0.80–0.66 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46%.