Estoril vs Casa Pia: predictions, H2H and market odds

Estoril have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.39 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Estoril's recent matches and 30% of Casa Pia's; 20% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 8 meetings Estoril won 3, Casa Pia won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.77–0.98 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.