Espanyol vs Sevilla: predictions, H2H and market odds

Espanyol have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.64 against). Sevilla have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.28 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Espanyol's recent matches and 60% of Sevilla's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Espanyol won 1, Sevilla won 5 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.51–1.12 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.