Esbjerg vs HB Køge: predictions, H2H and market odds

Esbjerg have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.52 expected goals for, 1.45 against). HB Køge have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.38 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Esbjerg's recent matches and 30% of HB Køge's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Esbjerg won 5, HB Køge won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Mar 2026, finished HB Køge 0–1 Esbjerg.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 1.78–1.19 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.