Derby County vs Watford: predictions, H2H and market odds

Derby County have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 2.00 against). Derby County still have other matches before this one, starting with Southampton on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in. Watford have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.61 against). Watford still have other matches before this one, starting with Sheffield United on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in.

Both teams scored in 70% of Derby County's recent matches and 40% of Watford's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Derby County won 0, Watford won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Watford 2–0 Derby County.