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Kick-off: Thu, 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Derby County have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.05 against).
Middlesbrough have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.32 against).
Both teams scored in 90% of Derby County's recent matches and 70% of Middlesbrough's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches.
| Date | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | SoT | SoTA | Corners | Poss. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 | ALeicester City | 1-2 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 55% |
| 12-26 | ABirmingham City | 1-1 | 0.80 | 2.24 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 26% |
| 12-20 | HPortsmouth | 1-1 | 1.66 | 0.70 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 52% |
| 12-15 | ASheffield Wednesday | 3-0 | 2.29 | 0.83 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 40% |
| 12-10 | HMillwall | 1-1 | 0.96 | 0.72 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 55% |
| 12-06 | HLeicester City | 1-3 | 1.16 | 1.43 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 61% |
| 11-29 | AMiddlesbrough | 1-2 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 26% |
| 11-25 | ASwansea City | 2-1 | 1.61 | 1.13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 27% |
| 11-22 | HWatford | 2-3 | 0.68 | 1.10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 38% |
| 11-08 | ABlackburn Rovers | 2-1 | 1.43 | 0.74 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35% |
| Average | 1.5-1.5 | 1.21 | 1.05 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 5.5 | 42% | |
| Date | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | SoT | SoTA | Corners | Poss. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 | HHull City | 0-1 | 0.90 | 0.81 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 71% |
| 12-26 | HBlackburn Rovers | 0-0 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 53% |
| 12-20 | ABristol City | 0-2 | 0.58 | 2.41 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 71% |
| 12-13 | HQueens Park Rangers | 3-1 | 1.81 | 1.42 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 63% |
| 12-09 | ACharlton Athletic | 2-1 | 2.14 | 0.96 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 62% |
| 12-05 | AHull City | 4-1 | 1.33 | 0.99 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 55% |
| 11-29 | HDerby County | 2-1 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 74% |
| 11-25 | HCoventry City | 2-4 | 0.61 | 3.00 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 60% |
| 11-22 | AOxford United | 1-1 | 0.71 | 0.80 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 70% |
| 11-08 | HBirmingham City | 2-1 | 1.30 | 1.35 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 43% |
| Average | 1.6-1.3 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 62% | |
xG: expected goals · SoT: shots on target · What is xG (expected goals)? →
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.
Matches this season: 20