Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cruzeiro have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.27 against). Athletico PR have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.54 expected goals for, 0.99 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Cruzeiro's recent matches and 60% of Athletico PR's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Cruzeiro won 1, Athletico PR won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Mar 2026, finished Athletico PR 2–1 Cruzeiro.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.31–0.96 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.