Criciúma vs Cuiabá: predictions, H2H and market odds

Criciúma have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.31 against). Cuiabá have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.03 expected goals for, 0.89 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Criciúma's recent matches and 60% of Cuiabá's; 20% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 5 meetings Criciúma won 1, Cuiabá won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Cuiabá 1–1 Criciúma.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 33%. Kepler's model projects 1.12–0.63 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.