Criciúma vs Avaí: predictions, H2H and market odds

Criciúma have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.96 expected goals for, 1.43 against). Avaí have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 1.15 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of Criciúma's recent matches and 50% of Avaí's; 20% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 5 meetings Criciúma won 2, Avaí won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 30 May 2026, finished Avaí 1–2 Criciúma.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 37%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–0.73 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46%.