Crewe Alexandra vs Shrewsbury Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Crewe Alexandra have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.44 against). Shrewsbury Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.04 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Crewe Alexandra's recent matches and 20% of Shrewsbury Town's; 30% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Crewe Alexandra won 2, Shrewsbury Town won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Shrewsbury Town 0–4 Crewe Alexandra.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–0.73 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.