Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: predictions, H2H and market odds

Crawley Town have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.42 against). Chesterfield have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.84 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Crawley Town's recent matches and 60% of Chesterfield's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Crawley Town won 0, Chesterfield won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Crawley Town 1–1 Chesterfield.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 1.11–1.55 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55%.