Coritiba vs Athletico PR: predictions, H2H and market odds

Coritiba have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.14 against). Athletico PR have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 1.05 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Coritiba's recent matches and 60% of Athletico PR's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Coritiba won 2, Athletico PR won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Athletico PR 2–0 Coritiba.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 43%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–1.30 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.