Corinthians vs Chapecoense: predictions, H2H and market odds

Corinthians have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 0.97 against). Chapecoense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.28 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Corinthians's recent matches and 60% of Chapecoense's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Chapecoense 0–0 Corinthians.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 2.14–0.79 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.