Córdoba vs Almería: predictions, H2H and market odds

Córdoba have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.61 against). Almería have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.31 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Córdoba's recent matches and 50% of Almería's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Córdoba won 0, Almería won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Almería 2–1 Córdoba.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.76–1.90 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.