Como vs Roma: predictions, H2H and market odds

Como have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.54 expected goals for, 0.94 against). Roma have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (2.00 expected goals for, 1.01 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Como's recent matches and 30% of Roma's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Como won 2, Roma won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Como 2–1 Roma.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.21–1.24 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.