Colchester United vs Crewe Alexandra: predictions, H2H and market odds

Colchester United have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 1.98 against). Crewe Alexandra have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.36 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Colchester United's recent matches and 40% of Crewe Alexandra's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Colchester United won 1, Crewe Alexandra won 3 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Crewe Alexandra 1–0 Colchester United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.21–1.02 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.