Chesterfield vs Colchester United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chesterfield have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.84 expected goals for, 1.27 against). Colchester United have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.58 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Chesterfield's recent matches and 60% of Colchester United's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Chesterfield won 1, Colchester United won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Mar 2026, finished Chesterfield 3–0 Colchester United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.48–1.01 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.