Chesterfield vs Barnet: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chesterfield have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.40 against). Barnet have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.79 expected goals for, 1.28 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Chesterfield's recent matches and 100% of Barnet's; 30% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Chesterfield won 1, Barnet won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Barnet 1–0 Chesterfield.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.43–1.41 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.