Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cheltenham Town have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.38 against). Grimsby Town have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.03 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cheltenham Town's recent matches and 70% of Grimsby Town's; 90% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 4 meetings Cheltenham Town won 0, Grimsby Town won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Cheltenham Town 0–2 Grimsby Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–1.66 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.