Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cheltenham Town have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Fleetwood Town have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 1.09 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Cheltenham Town's recent matches and 60% of Fleetwood Town's; 70% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Cheltenham Town won 4, Fleetwood Town won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 10 Mar 2026, finished Fleetwood Town 2–2 Cheltenham Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–1.38 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55%.