Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cheltenham Town have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.44 against). Chesterfield have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.32 against).

Both teams scored in 90% of Cheltenham Town's recent matches and 50% of Chesterfield's; 90% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Cheltenham Town won 1, Chesterfield won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–1.66 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.