Chapecoense vs Internacional: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chapecoense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Internacional have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (0.97 expected goals for, 1.34 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Chapecoense's recent matches and 60% of Internacional's; 70% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Internacional 2–0 Chapecoense.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–1.54 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.