Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Ceuta have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.55 against). Real Oviedo have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.43 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Ceuta's recent matches and 30% of Real Oviedo's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–1.37 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.