Cercle Brugge vs Gent: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cercle Brugge have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.86 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Gent have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.63 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cercle Brugge's recent matches and 40% of Gent's; 80% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Cercle Brugge won 6, Gent won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 20 Feb 2026, finished Gent 0–1 Cercle Brugge.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.46–1.49 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.