Ceará vs Novorizontino: predictions, H2H and market odds

Ceará have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.60 against). Novorizontino have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 0.72 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Ceará's recent matches and 60% of Novorizontino's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Ceará won 2, Novorizontino won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Novorizontino 2–1 Ceará.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 43%. Kepler's model projects 1.07–1.25 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.