Catanzaro vs Mantova: predictions, H2H and market odds

Catanzaro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.56 against). Mantova have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.28 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Catanzaro's recent matches and 50% of Mantova's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Catanzaro won 2, Mantova won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Catanzaro 2–0 Mantova.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.97–1.24 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.