Castellón vs Tenerife: predictions, H2H and market odds

Castellón have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.62 expected goals for, 1.05 against). Tenerife have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (0.93 expected goals for, 1.01 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Castellón's recent matches and 30% of Tenerife's; 40% and 10% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Castellón won 1, Tenerife won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Jan 2025, finished Tenerife 2–0 Castellón.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.53–0.84 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.