Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: predictions, H2H and market odds

Casa Pia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.41 against). Santa Clara have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 0.93 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Casa Pia's recent matches and 40% of Santa Clara's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 6 meetings Casa Pia won 1, Santa Clara won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 42%. Kepler's model projects 0.86–1.15 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 48%.