Carrarese vs Modena: predictions, H2H and market odds

Carrarese have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 0.97 against). Modena have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.25 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Carrarese's recent matches and 50% of Modena's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Carrarese won 1, Modena won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Modena 2–0 Carrarese.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.10–1.12 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53%.