Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cádiz have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.63 against). Sporting Gijón have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.22 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Cádiz's recent matches and 40% of Sporting Gijón's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Cádiz won 2, Sporting Gijón won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Sporting Gijón 3–0 Cádiz.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 1.29–1.27 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52%.