Cádiz vs Leganés: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cádiz have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.66 against). Leganés have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.18 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cádiz's recent matches and 20% of Leganés's; 50% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Cádiz won 1, Leganés won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Cádiz 3–0 Leganés.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 42%. Kepler's model projects 1.08–1.02 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.