Cádiz vs Las Palmas: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cádiz have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 1.71 against). Las Palmas have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.56 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cádiz's recent matches and 70% of Las Palmas's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Cádiz won 0, Las Palmas won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 27 Apr 2026, finished Cádiz 1–2 Las Palmas.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 1.01–1.29 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.