Burgos vs Granada: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burgos have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Granada have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.80 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Burgos's recent matches and 70% of Granada's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Burgos won 1, Granada won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Granada 0–1 Burgos.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–0.90 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52%.