Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Bristol Rovers have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Salford City have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.03 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Bristol Rovers's recent matches and 40% of Salford City's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Bristol Rovers won 2, Salford City won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Salford City 1–0 Bristol Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.31–1.37 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.