Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Bristol Rovers have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.04 against). Exeter City have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.52 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Bristol Rovers's recent matches and 50% of Exeter City's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Bristol Rovers won 1, Exeter City won 5 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2025, finished Bristol Rovers 1–2 Exeter City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 0.69–0.67 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.