Bragantino vs Mirassol: predictions, H2H and market odds

Bragantino have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Mirassol have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.44 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Bragantino's recent matches and 90% of Mirassol's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Bragantino won 2, Mirassol won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Mirassol 0–1 Bragantino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.40–1.18 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.