Bragantino vs Bahia: predictions, H2H and market odds

Bragantino have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Bahia have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.32 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Bragantino's recent matches and 60% of Bahia's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 7 meetings Bragantino won 2, Bahia won 5 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Mar 2026, finished Bahia 2–0 Bragantino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.39–1.13 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.