Botafogo vs Palmeiras: predictions, H2H and market odds

Botafogo have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.57 against). Palmeiras have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Botafogo's recent matches and 60% of Palmeiras's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Botafogo won 3, Palmeiras won 5 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Mar 2026, finished Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.22–1.35 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.