Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova: predictions, H2H and market odds

Botafogo SP have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.89 expected goals for, 1.08 against). Vila Nova have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.62 expected goals for, 1.30 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Botafogo SP's recent matches and 10% of Vila Nova's; 50% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Botafogo SP won 2, Vila Nova won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Jun 2026, finished Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 37%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–1.11 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.