Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons: predictions, H2H and market odds

Blackpool have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.58 against). Milton Keynes Dons have won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.45 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Blackpool's recent matches and 80% of Milton Keynes Dons's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 1.70–1.06 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.