Barnsley vs Blackpool: predictions, H2H and market odds

Barnsley have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Blackpool have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.08 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Barnsley's recent matches and 30% of Blackpool's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Barnsley won 2, Blackpool won 6 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Barnsley 2–1 Blackpool.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.58–1.43 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.