Barnet vs Swindon Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Barnet have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.28 against). Swindon Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.66 against).

Both teams scored in 100% of Barnet's recent matches and 50% of Swindon Town's; 90% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Barnet won 1, Swindon Town won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, finished Barnet 1–2 Swindon Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 2.16–1.27 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.