Barnet vs Accrington Stanley: predictions, H2H and market odds

Barnet have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.80 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Accrington Stanley have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.69 against).

Both teams scored in 100% of Barnet's recent matches and 80% of Accrington Stanley's; 90% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Barnet won 2, Accrington Stanley won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Accrington Stanley 0–1 Barnet.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 2.16–1.05 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.