Avellino vs Palermo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Avellino have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.32 against). Palermo have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 1.45 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of Avellino's recent matches and 50% of Palermo's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Avellino won 0, Palermo won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Palermo 2–0 Avellino.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.00–1.38 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.