Auxerre vs Brest: predictions, H2H and market odds

Auxerre have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.65 expected goals for, 1.66 against). Brest have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.41 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Auxerre's recent matches and 70% of Brest's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 6 meetings Auxerre won 2, Brest won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Auxerre 3–0 Brest.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.39–1.30 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.