Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: predictions, H2H and market odds

Atlético Mineiro have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Grêmio have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.29 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Atlético Mineiro's recent matches and 60% of Grêmio's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Atlético Mineiro won 3, Grêmio won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 26 Feb 2026, finished Grêmio 2–1 Atlético Mineiro.