Arouca vs Nacional: predictions, H2H and market odds

Arouca have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.28 against). Arouca still play Alverca on 24 October before this match, so their figures here will update once that result is in. Nacional have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (0.97 expected goals for, 1.52 against). Nacional still play Sporting Braga on 25 October before this match, so their figures here will update once that result is in.

Both teams scored in 50% of Arouca's recent matches and 40% of Nacional's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Arouca won 4, Nacional won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Arouca 3–0 Nacional.