Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise: predictions, H2H and market odds

Antwerp have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.42 expected goals for, 1.91 against). Union Saint-Gilloise have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (2.58 expected goals for, 1.08 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Antwerp's recent matches and 30% of Union Saint-Gilloise's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Antwerp won 1, Union Saint-Gilloise won 6 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Antwerp.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 0.78–1.57 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.