Almería vs Cádiz: predictions, H2H and market odds

Almería have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.39 against). Cádiz have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.68 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Almería's recent matches and 60% of Cádiz's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Almería won 3, Cádiz won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Cádiz 1–2 Almería.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 2.25–1.01 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.