Accrington Stanley vs Newport County: predictions, H2H and market odds

Accrington Stanley have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.66 against). Newport County have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.54 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Accrington Stanley's recent matches and 70% of Newport County's; 90% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 6 meetings Accrington Stanley won 4, Newport County won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 Jan 2026, finished Newport County 1–4 Accrington Stanley.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.62–1.20 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.